المجلة الدولية للبحوث القانونية والسياسية
Volume 10, Numéro 2, Pages 130-179
2026-10-01
The Impact Of Predictive Artificial Intelligence Systems On Political Decision-making During Acute International Crises: A Simulation Of The U.s. – China Conflict Over The Taiwan Crisis
Authors : Belkacemi Ali .
Abstract
This study derives its significance from the accelerated integration of predictive artificial intelligence algorithms into sensitive strategic environments. It aims to monitor and analyze the role of these systems in shaping political and military decision-making during acute international crises, focusing on a simulation of the U.S.-China conflict over Taiwan as an empirical model to understand the transformation in the interaction of international actors. The study adopts a descriptive, analytical, and deconstructive methodology, drawing upon the cybernetic approach and game theory to interpret both Azerbaijani (negotiating) and military behaviors. It concludes that while relying on artificial intelligence is highly efficient in processing big data and reducing time constraints, it increases the likelihood of "unintentional escalation." This is due to the absence of diplomatic tact and human emotional judgment, as well as the system's reliance on closed algorithmic feedback loops that may bypass the constraints of conventional human rationality and propel the crisis toward critical paths.
Keywords
Predictive AI ; Political Decision-Making ; International Crises ; Military Escalation ; Cybernetic Rationality
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