مجلة دفاتر اقتصادية
Volume 17, Numéro 1, Pages 120-133
2026-06-02
Dynamics Of Algerian Life Expectancy : A Kde-pelt Study Compared To Emerging Countries’ Trajectories
Authors : Belaidi Mohamed Amine .
Abstract
Life expectancy is a central indicator of health transition, reflecting socio-economic transformations and public policy impacts. this paper examines the trajectories of life expectancy in Algeria from 1960 to 2020, comparing them with those of eight emerging countries. A dual approach, combining descriptive analysis and advanced statistical methods, was employed. tools such as kernel density estimation (kde) and the pelt algorithm were used to identify structural breakpoints and analyze temporal distributions. Algeria experienced a rapid health transition marked by a distinct bimodality: a period of stagnation following independence (1960–1970) was followed by a remarkable surge between 1970 and 1985. this dynamic contrasts with more gradual progressions (e.g., Tunisia, Turkey) and stagnations (e.g., Nigeria, South Africa). The identified structural breaks highlight the significant transformations in Algeria's healthcare system but also reveal enduring challenges. regional comparisons underscore Algeria's unique trajectory within a global context.
Keywords
Health transition ; life expectancy ; comparative analysis ; advanced statistics ; structural breaks
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