مجلة إضافات إقتصادية
Volume 10, Numéro 2, Pages 1480-1504
2026-09-30

Asymmetric Effects Of Climate Change On Agricultural Production In Algeria: An Econometric Analysis Using The Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (nardl) Model Over The Period 1960–2023



Authors : Chaiberas Mohamed .

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of climate change on agricultural production in Algeria over the period 1960–2023 using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. The results reveal the presence of nonlinear dependencies among the variables, The findings also confirm the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship. Furthermore, the study identifies asymmetric long-run effects of temperature and rainfall on agricultural production. In contrast, the results indicate symmetric effects of both positive and negative changes in carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions. Additionally, the expansion of agricultural land exerts a positive and statistically significant effect on agricultural production.

Keywords

Climate change; Agricultural production; NARDL model.

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