التكامل الاقتصادي
Volume 14, Numéro 2, Pages 169-183
2026-06-12

The Algerian Economy And The Diversification Problem: Analyzing The Impact Of The Interaction Between Non-hydrocarbon Revenues And Export Concentration On Economic Growth



Authors : Belhia Yamina .

Abstract

This study aims to measure and analyze the impact of diversification economy indicators on economic growth in Algeria over the period 1996–2024, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The results indicate the presence of a long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables. The export concentration index on a limited number of products (HHI) recorded a negative impact on long-term economic growth (-83.30). In contrast, the Non-Hydrocarbon Revenues Index (NHR) showed a long-term negative impact (-14.09), reflecting the absence of a clear strategic framework for the effective allocation of these revenues to productive sectors in the long term, preventing their expected positive impact. Moreover, the interactive index between non- hydrocarbon revenues and export concentration (NHR_HHI) shows a positive impact (26.96) on economic growth, which confirms that the impact of export concentration on non-hydrocarbon GDP is positively moderated by higher levels of non-oil revenues. Keywords: Non-hydrocarbon Economic Growth; diversification economy; Algeria; ARDL model. JEL Classification Codes: O11; O40 ; C32.

Keywords

Non-hydrocarbon Economic Growth ; diversification economy ; Algeria ; ARDL model

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