مجلة التمويل والاستثمار والتنمية المستدامة
Volume 10, Numéro 2, Pages 471-483
2025-12-29
Authors : Mennad Naima . Benlahcene Lahouari .
This research quantifies the economic impacts of a preferential agreement with the European Union on Algerian households, employing a static computable general equilibrium framework based on a 2012 Social Accounting Matrix. The simulation of a unilateral removal of tariff barriers on European products reveals counter-intuitive results: contrary to classical free trade predictions, household surplus contracts, as evidenced by the negative equivalent variation metric. This erosion of welfare is primarily explained by massive trade diversion favoring European flows, generating a compression of available resources, savings capacity, and real purchasing power. The analysis demonstrates that discriminatory regionalism generates net costs in the Algerian context, imperatively requiring compensatory policies – targeted investments and redistributive mechanisms – to mitigate transitional adjustments and foster sustainable and equitable improvement in collective welfare.
Keywords: Regionalism, CGE, Trade Diversion, Equivalent Variation, welfare.
بوسالم أحلام
.
عابد يوسف
.
ص 117-132.
Yahia Zeghoudi
.
pages 74-88.
Said Houari Amel
.
pages 257-268.
Ayadi Imen
.
Abida Habib
.
Djebbar Yassine3
.
Mahdjoub Md Raouf
.
pages 7-17.
Elagag Mustapha
.
Mokhtari Fayçal
.
pages 1413-1436.