مجلة نماء للإقتصاد والتجارة
Volume 9, Numéro 1, Pages 154-171
2025-06-30
Carbon Emissions And Their Economic Determinants: An Ardl Analysis For The United States
Authors : Benhalima Abdelkader Aziz .
Abstract
Carbon emissions, as a key factor in climate change, are influenced by various economic determinants, including energy consumption, commercial opening and economic growth. This study applies the ArdL model to analyze the dynamic relationships between these variables in the United States, by differentiating short and long-term effects. The results show that energy consumption is the main engine of CO₂ emissions, while commercial opening contributes to their reduction thanks to the dissemination of clean technologies. On the other hand, economic growth and industrialization have no significant impact on emissions, suggesting compensatory mechanisms such as energy efficiency gains. These conclusions provide recommendations for public policies to balance economic growth and energy transition.
Keywords
Carbon emissions, ARDL model, economic growth, energy consumption, trade openness, energy transition
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