مجلة البشائر الاقتصادية
Volume 12, Numéro 1, Pages 520-539
2026-06-05
The Impact Of Trade Openness On Economic Growth In Algeria: A Regression Study Using The Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ardl) Over The Period 1990-2022
Authors : Hadjila Asma . Badraoui Chahinez .
Abstract
This study aims to analyse the impact of trade openness on economic growth in Algeria during the period 1990-2022, in light of global economic shifts and the dominance of the hydrocarbon sector in the productive structure. The study used gross domestic product as an indicator of economic growth, trade openness and oil prices as explanatory variables, using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model and the error correction model (ECM) to analyse the relationship in the short and long term. The results showed a long-run cointegration relationship between them, as well as a positive and significant effect of oil prices on economic growth, while the effect of trade openness was positive but not significant. In the short term, the results showed a positive and significant effect for both trade openness and oil prices. The study concludes that the impact of trade openness in Algeria remains limited and linked to weak economic diversification, which calls for complementary policies to promote exports and diversify productivity.
Keywords
Trade openness ; Economic growth ; Algeria ; ARDL model
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