افاق للعلوم
Volume 10, Numéro 2, Pages 580-595
2025-03-15
Impact Exchange Rate Dinar/dollar On The Volume Of Imports In Algeria Analytical-econometric Study Since 2000-2024
Authors : Bouchemal Mohamed . Dehilis Samir .
Abstract
The objective of this inquiry is to rigorously assess how fluctuations in the dinar-dollar monetary relationship have intricately influenced the trajectory of Algeria’s international procurement trends, leveraging an analytical and econometric approach during the period (2000-2024). To describe the relationship between the study variables, factor analysis using principal components (ACP) was applied. To achieve this objective, the stability of the time series was examined using the Dickey-Fuller test, which indicated that there is no cointegration between the variables. Accordingly, the investigation employed a Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework, which reveals a statistically robust negative correlation between variations in Algeria’s monetary valuation and the associated patterns in international procurement dynamics.
Keywords
import volume ; exchange rate ; Dickey-Fuller ; vector auto regression (VAR)
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