مجلة المنهل الاقتصادي

Technology Spillover Through Foreign Trade And Its Effect On Overall Economic Performance: Empirical Evidence From Algeria Over Four Decades Of Transformation And Technological Absorption

Auteurs : Belhouchet Mohamed Lamine . Gaboussa Ali .

Résumé

This study examines the effect of technology spillovers transmitted through foreign trade on Algeria's overall economic performance over 1980–2024, using the ARDL model. After accounting for five structural breaks (1986, 1994, 2001, 2007, 2014) identified via the Bai–Perron test, the revised model passes all diagnostic and stability checks. Results confirm long-run cointegration: labour, physical capital, and human capital exert positive and significant effects on real GDP, with human capital showing the largest elasticity, while the trade-related technology-spillover variable, though positively signed, remains statistically insignificant. The error-correction model shows a fast adjustment speed (about 57.8% annually). Findings suggest Algeria's import structure has yet to generate a measurable technology-driven productivity gain, calling for stronger absorptive capacity and technology-oriented import policies.

Mots clés

Technology spillover ; Foreign trade ; Absorptive capacity ; Human capital ; ARDL model