التكامل الاقتصادي

Household Electricity Consumption In Algeria: Trends, Energy Waste, And Prospects For Greater Efficiency.

Auteurs : Brahmi Assia .

Résumé

The continuous improvement in living standards in Algeria has been accompanied by a steady increase in energy demand, particularly for electricity. This trend makes it increasingly important to examine the evolution of household electricity consumption and to anticipate its future trajectory. This study focuses on the household sector, which accounts for the largest share of Algeria’s final electricity consumption. Using annual data covering the period from 1980 to 2018, the study applies time-series analysis to identify the underlying dynamics of household electricity consumption and to generate forecasts up to 2030. The results indicate a persistent upward trend in electricity demand. Based on the estimated model and assuming that current consumption patterns continue, household electricity consumption is expected to approximately double by 2030 compared with its 2018 level. These findings highlight the importance of combining the expansion of electricity-generation capacity with policies aimed at improving energy efficiency and reducing unnecessary consumption.

Mots clés

Household electricity consumption; Energy efficiency; Energy waste; Algeria; Time-series forecasting