مجلة المنهل الاقتصادي

Food Resilience As An Emergent System Property Integrating Domestic Production Maritime Logistics And Strategic Reserves

2026-09-28

Auteurs : Drif Abdallah .

Résumé

Food security in import-dependent economies depends on the resilience of interconnected production, logistics, and inventory systems. This study develops a system dynamics framework to examine how food self-sufficiency, maritime import capacity, strategic food reserves, and disruption duration jointly influence food-system resilience. A dynamic food-balance model is used to evaluate alternative disruption scenarios and identify resilience thresholds. The results show that resilience emerges from the interaction of domestic production, maritime logistics, and strategic reserves. The study introduces the Import Capacity Frontier (ICF). The findings demonstrate that resilient food systems are achieved by balancing production, logistics, and reserve policies, providing a systems-based framework for food security.

Mots clés

Food-system resilience ; Food security ; Food self-sufficiency ; Maritime logistics ; Strategic food reserves ; System dynamics