مجلة التمويل والاستثمار والتنمية المستدامة
Volume 10, Numéro 1, Pages 47-65
2025-06-05

Assessing Micro-investment Projects Risk Using Sensitivity Analysis Technique: The Case Of Construction Works Project Financed By The National Agency For Entrepreneurship Support And Development - Annaba State-

Authors : Rezgui Nour Elhouda . Khelassi Abdelillah .

Abstract

This study outlines the methodology and application of the sensitivity analysis technique in evaluating investment projects for risk assessment. In order to study a real example, the construction works project located in Annaba and financed by the National Agency for Support and Development of Entrepreneurship, was selected as a case study. When applying sensitivity analysis to changes in three key variables cash flow, discount rate and investment cost. It was concluded that sensitivity of the project’s NPV to changes in cash flow was more than the other two variables.

Keywords

Investment ; Risk Assessment ; Sensitivity Analysis ; micro-project