مجلة البشائر الاقتصادية

Intermediate-goods Trade And Regional Value Chains In Algeria–tunisia Economic Integration

Auteurs : Himri Faiza .

Résumé

This article examines the relationship between regional value chain (RVC) participation and economic integration between Algeria and Tunisia. Using bilateral trade data from the World Bank’s WITS database (1992–2017), the study combines descriptive analysis, sectoral assessment, VAR modelling, and ARDL/error-correction models. Results show that bilateral trade growth after 2008 was mainly driven by hydrocarbons, while non-hydrocarbon integration remained weak. In the long run, RVC participation is positively associated with non-hydrocarbon integration (coefficient = 0.197; p = 0.010), but not significantly associated with total integration. This relationship remains significant across individual-year exclusion tests, although cointegration evidence is less robust in some specifications. Potential complementarities in metals, plastics, textiles, and solar activities could support cross-border production. Strengthening supplier networks, standards compatibility, and logistics may promote deeper productive integration.

Mots clés

intermediate goods ; bilateral trade ; productive linkages ; economic diversification ; Algeria–Tunisia relations ; ARDL model